Latest global weather models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, project Moscow’s daytime maximum on May 17 between 24°C and 26°C under a mix of sun and high cloud with light winds. This places the expected peak modestly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure and warmer southerly flow. Model spread remains narrow, supporting the market’s concentration around 25°C at 36% implied probability and 26°C at 24%. Forecasters will issue final updates overnight, when any shift in cloud cover or advection could adjust the realized high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
25°C 35%
26°C 27.5%
24°C 21%
27°C 12.2%
NOWE
$11,187 Wol.
NOWE
$11,187 Wol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 35%
26°C 27.5%
24°C 21%
27°C 12.2%
NOWE
$11,187 Wol.
NOWE
$11,187 Wol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,330 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,315 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,029 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,937 Wol.
1%
22°C
$1,250 Wol.
2%
23°C
$747 Wol.
6%
24°C
$490 Wol.
21%
25°C
$647 Wol.
35%
26°C
$876 Wol.
28%
27°C
$667 Wol.
12%
28°C or higher
$1,047 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global weather models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, project Moscow’s daytime maximum on May 17 between 24°C and 26°C under a mix of sun and high cloud with light winds. This places the expected peak modestly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure and warmer southerly flow. Model spread remains narrow, supporting the market’s concentration around 25°C at 36% implied probability and 26°C at 24%. Forecasters will issue final updates overnight, when any shift in cloud cover or advection could adjust the realized high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,187Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global weather models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, project Moscow’s daytime maximum on May 17 between 24°C and 26°C under a mix of sun and high cloud with light winds. This places the expected peak modestly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure and warmer southerly flow. Model spread remains narrow, supporting the market’s concentration around 25°C at 36% implied probability and 26°C at 24%. Forecasters will issue final updates overnight, when any shift in cloud cover or advection could adjust the realized high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,187Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest global weather models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, project Moscow’s daytime maximum on May 17 between 24°C and 26°C under a mix of sun and high cloud with light winds. This places the expected peak modestly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure and warmer southerly flow. Model spread remains narrow, supporting the market’s concentration around 25°C at 36% implied probability and 26°C at 24%. Forecasters will issue final updates overnight, when any shift in cloud cover or advection could adjust the realized high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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