Latest forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) project a high of 24°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with high humidity near 95%, capping solar heating and fueling trader bets at 21.5% for 24°C. Climatempo models show slightly more sun with many clouds, implying 25°C (35.5% market-implied odds), while international ensembles like GFS hint at 26°C potential (26.5%) if afternoon cloud breaks occur. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid autumnal cooling trends—historical May highs average 23–25°C—but differentiates on precipitation timing (85% shower risk overnight) and light northeast winds (4 km/h), which could suppress peaks via moisture advection. Traders await final 12-hour updates from INMET, as urban heat island effects may nudge outcomes 1–2°C higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
25°C 36%
26°C 27%
24°C 17%
27°C 7.4%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
17%
25°C
36%
26°C
27%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 27%
24°C 17%
27°C 7.4%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$916 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$724 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$323 Wol.
1%
22°C
$718 Wol.
2%
23°C
$1,109 Wol.
6%
24°C
$431 Wol.
17%
25°C
$651 Wol.
36%
26°C
$774 Wol.
27%
27°C
$289 Wol.
7%
28°C
$391 Wol.
3%
29°C or higher
$432 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) project a high of 24°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with high humidity near 95%, capping solar heating and fueling trader bets at 21.5% for 24°C. Climatempo models show slightly more sun with many clouds, implying 25°C (35.5% market-implied odds), while international ensembles like GFS hint at 26°C potential (26.5%) if afternoon cloud breaks occur. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid autumnal cooling trends—historical May highs average 23–25°C—but differentiates on precipitation timing (85% shower risk overnight) and light northeast winds (4 km/h), which could suppress peaks via moisture advection. Traders await final 12-hour updates from INMET, as urban heat island effects may nudge outcomes 1–2°C higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,759Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) project a high of 24°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with high humidity near 95%, capping solar heating and fueling trader bets at 21.5% for 24°C. Climatempo models show slightly more sun with many clouds, implying 25°C (35.5% market-implied odds), while international ensembles like GFS hint at 26°C potential (26.5%) if afternoon cloud breaks occur. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid autumnal cooling trends—historical May highs average 23–25°C—but differentiates on precipitation timing (85% shower risk overnight) and light northeast winds (4 km/h), which could suppress peaks via moisture advection. Traders await final 12-hour updates from INMET, as urban heat island effects may nudge outcomes 1–2°C higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$6,759Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) project a high of 24°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with high humidity near 95%, capping solar heating and fueling trader bets at 21.5% for 24°C. Climatempo models show slightly more sun with many clouds, implying 25°C (35.5% market-implied odds), while international ensembles like GFS hint at 26°C potential (26.5%) if afternoon cloud breaks occur. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid autumnal cooling trends—historical May highs average 23–25°C—but differentiates on precipitation timing (85% shower risk overnight) and light northeast winds (4 km/h), which could suppress peaks via moisture advection. Traders await final 12-hour updates from INMET, as urban heat island effects may nudge outcomes 1–2°C higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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