Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 17 most likely between 66°F and 69°F, reflecting a moderating marine layer and afternoon sea breeze that typically caps inland warming in the Los Angeles basin. Recent model runs show slight divergence on the strength of onshore flow and cloud cover, creating the tight split between the leading 66-67°F and 68-69°F outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology places average highs near 72°F, yet persistent cool Pacific waters and recent post-heat-wave stabilization support the market’s emphasis on the lower end of the range. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push toward 70°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 17?
68-69°F 43%
66-67°F 35%
70-71°F 14%
72-73°F 4.7%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
43%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 43%
66-67°F 35%
70-71°F 14%
72-73°F 4.7%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
43%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 17 most likely between 66°F and 69°F, reflecting a moderating marine layer and afternoon sea breeze that typically caps inland warming in the Los Angeles basin. Recent model runs show slight divergence on the strength of onshore flow and cloud cover, creating the tight split between the leading 66-67°F and 68-69°F outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology places average highs near 72°F, yet persistent cool Pacific waters and recent post-heat-wave stabilization support the market’s emphasis on the lower end of the range. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push toward 70°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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