Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Jakarta on May 16 at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C at 28.5%, reflecting tight uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts amid the onset of May's dry season. Recent BMKG early warnings highlight potential isolated heavy showers and cloudy conditions over Jakarta Selatan and Timur on May 16, capping solar insolation and favoring 32°C if convection develops early; clearer afternoons could push urban heat island-boosted peaks to 33°C, consistent with equatorial highs averaging 32–33°C. Past week's observed maxima around 32–34°C, including 34.7°C on May 12, underscore variability from high humidity (70–90%) and light winds, with hourly Halim Perdanakusuma observations determining resolution. New model runs expected overnight may sharpen odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 9%
NOWE
$11,863 Wol.
NOWE
$11,863 Wol.
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
27%
33°C
40%
34°C
20%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 9%
NOWE
$11,863 Wol.
NOWE
$11,863 Wol.
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
$576 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,187 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$780 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$273 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,130 Wol.
3%
31°C
$3,639 Wol.
9%
32°C
$1,523 Wol.
27%
33°C
$775 Wol.
40%
34°C
$1,146 Wol.
20%
35°C
$324 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$510 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Jakarta on May 16 at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C at 28.5%, reflecting tight uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts amid the onset of May's dry season. Recent BMKG early warnings highlight potential isolated heavy showers and cloudy conditions over Jakarta Selatan and Timur on May 16, capping solar insolation and favoring 32°C if convection develops early; clearer afternoons could push urban heat island-boosted peaks to 33°C, consistent with equatorial highs averaging 32–33°C. Past week's observed maxima around 32–34°C, including 34.7°C on May 12, underscore variability from high humidity (70–90%) and light winds, with hourly Halim Perdanakusuma observations determining resolution. New model runs expected overnight may sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,863Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Jakarta on May 16 at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C at 28.5%, reflecting tight uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts amid the onset of May's dry season. Recent BMKG early warnings highlight potential isolated heavy showers and cloudy conditions over Jakarta Selatan and Timur on May 16, capping solar insolation and favoring 32°C if convection develops early; clearer afternoons could push urban heat island-boosted peaks to 33°C, consistent with equatorial highs averaging 32–33°C. Past week's observed maxima around 32–34°C, including 34.7°C on May 12, underscore variability from high humidity (70–90%) and light winds, with hourly Halim Perdanakusuma observations determining resolution. New model runs expected overnight may sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,863Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Jakarta on May 16 at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C at 28.5%, reflecting tight uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts amid the onset of May's dry season. Recent BMKG early warnings highlight potential isolated heavy showers and cloudy conditions over Jakarta Selatan and Timur on May 16, capping solar insolation and favoring 32°C if convection develops early; clearer afternoons could push urban heat island-boosted peaks to 33°C, consistent with equatorial highs averaging 32–33°C. Past week's observed maxima around 32–34°C, including 34.7°C on May 12, underscore variability from high humidity (70–90%) and light winds, with hourly Halim Perdanakusuma observations determining resolution. New model runs expected overnight may sharpen odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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