MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a daytime high of 13°C on May 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving persistent southeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h that advect cool maritime air and cap temperatures despite partial clearing. Observational data from nearby Kelburn station confirm a midday peak of 13.7°C, aligning with airport measurements typically 1-2°C cooler due to Rongotai's exposed coastal location and sea breeze effects. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical May norms around 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen wind shift to warmer northerlies or extended sunshine piercing cloud layers, though synoptic patterns show low volatility as final airport readings finalize by midnight NZST.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOWE
$49,668 Wol.
NOWE
$49,668 Wol.
May 15, 2026
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOWE
$49,668 Wol.
NOWE
$49,668 Wol.
May 15, 2026
13°C
$10,731 Wol.
99%
14°C
$7,969 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$5,491 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$6,896 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$3,911 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a daytime high of 13°C on May 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving persistent southeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h that advect cool maritime air and cap temperatures despite partial clearing. Observational data from nearby Kelburn station confirm a midday peak of 13.7°C, aligning with airport measurements typically 1-2°C cooler due to Rongotai's exposed coastal location and sea breeze effects. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical May norms around 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen wind shift to warmer northerlies or extended sunshine piercing cloud layers, though synoptic patterns show low volatility as final airport readings finalize by midnight NZST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,668Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a daytime high of 13°C on May 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving persistent southeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h that advect cool maritime air and cap temperatures despite partial clearing. Observational data from nearby Kelburn station confirm a midday peak of 13.7°C, aligning with airport measurements typically 1-2°C cooler due to Rongotai's exposed coastal location and sea breeze effects. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical May norms around 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen wind shift to warmer northerlies or extended sunshine piercing cloud layers, though synoptic patterns show low volatility as final airport readings finalize by midnight NZST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$49,668Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a daytime high of 13°C on May 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving persistent southeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h that advect cool maritime air and cap temperatures despite partial clearing. Observational data from nearby Kelburn station confirm a midday peak of 13.7°C, aligning with airport measurements typically 1-2°C cooler due to Rongotai's exposed coastal location and sea breeze effects. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical May norms around 13-14°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen wind shift to warmer northerlies or extended sunshine piercing cloud layers, though synoptic patterns show low volatility as final airport readings finalize by midnight NZST.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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