Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Beijing's highest temperature on May 15 at around 31°C under cloudy skies with light southerly winds, capping heating after sunnier conditions yielded 32-33°C highs on May 13-14 amid a brief early-month heat ridge. This shift stems from an approaching frontal system introducing mid-level clouds and slight cooling, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover near 27-28°C but variability allows brief warm spells. Trader consensus prices 31°C or below at 72% implied probability, reflecting strong model agreement (e.g., high-resolution GRAPES runs) despite minor uncertainty in peak insolation; watch evening forecast updates from Beijing Meteorological Observatory for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
31°C or below 71%
32°C 21%
33°C 7%
34°C 2.4%
NOWE
$16,869 Wol.
NOWE
$16,869 Wol.
May 15, 2026
31°C or below
71%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 71%
32°C 21%
33°C 7%
34°C 2.4%
NOWE
$16,869 Wol.
NOWE
$16,869 Wol.
May 15, 2026
31°C or below
$2,476 Wol.
71%
32°C
$980 Wol.
21%
33°C
$2,749 Wol.
7%
34°C
$1,874 Wol.
2%
35°C
$1,691 Wol.
1%
36°C
$1,474 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,473 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$1,010 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$1,188 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$901 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,062 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Beijing's highest temperature on May 15 at around 31°C under cloudy skies with light southerly winds, capping heating after sunnier conditions yielded 32-33°C highs on May 13-14 amid a brief early-month heat ridge. This shift stems from an approaching frontal system introducing mid-level clouds and slight cooling, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover near 27-28°C but variability allows brief warm spells. Trader consensus prices 31°C or below at 72% implied probability, reflecting strong model agreement (e.g., high-resolution GRAPES runs) despite minor uncertainty in peak insolation; watch evening forecast updates from Beijing Meteorological Observatory for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,869Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Beijing's highest temperature on May 15 at around 31°C under cloudy skies with light southerly winds, capping heating after sunnier conditions yielded 32-33°C highs on May 13-14 amid a brief early-month heat ridge. This shift stems from an approaching frontal system introducing mid-level clouds and slight cooling, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover near 27-28°C but variability allows brief warm spells. Trader consensus prices 31°C or below at 72% implied probability, reflecting strong model agreement (e.g., high-resolution GRAPES runs) despite minor uncertainty in peak insolation; watch evening forecast updates from Beijing Meteorological Observatory for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$16,869Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Beijing's highest temperature on May 15 at around 31°C under cloudy skies with light southerly winds, capping heating after sunnier conditions yielded 32-33°C highs on May 13-14 amid a brief early-month heat ridge. This shift stems from an approaching frontal system introducing mid-level clouds and slight cooling, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover near 27-28°C but variability allows brief warm spells. Trader consensus prices 31°C or below at 72% implied probability, reflecting strong model agreement (e.g., high-resolution GRAPES runs) despite minor uncertainty in peak insolation; watch evening forecast updates from Beijing Meteorological Observatory for refinements ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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