Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$66,442 Wol.
$66,442 Wol.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$66,442 Wol.
$66,442 Wol.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$11,230 Wol.
No
24°C
$10,500 Wol.
No
25°C
$9,196 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$3,953 Wol.
No
27°C
$5,272 Wol.
No
28°C
$4,810 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,522 Wol.
No
30°C
$5,097 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,795 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,148 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$3,920 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$66,442Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$66,442Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania