The closely matched 50-50 split between minimum temperatures of 12°C or below and 22°C or higher in Seoul on May 20 stems from divergent ensemble forecasts in the latest runs from global models such as the ECMWF and GFS. Mid-May climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 14–18°C under variable springtime conditions, but current atmospheric setups—including possible frontal passages and shifts in the subtropical high—introduce wide uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights model spread on timing and strength of any onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, with resolution hinging on updated 48-hour forecasts expected in the coming days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
22°C or higher 50%
12°C or below 50%
17°C 27%
16°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
May 20, 2026
12°C or below
50%
13°C
11%
14°C
14%
15°C
18%
16°C
21%
17°C
27%
18°C
20%
19°C
17%
20°C
14%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
50%
22°C or higher 50%
12°C or below 50%
17°C 27%
16°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
May 20, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
50%
13°C
$0 Wol.
11%
14°C
$0 Wol.
14%
15°C
$0 Wol.
18%
16°C
$0 Wol.
21%
17°C
$0 Wol.
27%
18°C
$0 Wol.
20%
19°C
$0 Wol.
17%
20°C
$0 Wol.
14%
21°C
$0 Wol.
11%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched 50-50 split between minimum temperatures of 12°C or below and 22°C or higher in Seoul on May 20 stems from divergent ensemble forecasts in the latest runs from global models such as the ECMWF and GFS. Mid-May climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 14–18°C under variable springtime conditions, but current atmospheric setups—including possible frontal passages and shifts in the subtropical high—introduce wide uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights model spread on timing and strength of any onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, with resolution hinging on updated 48-hour forecasts expected in the coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched 50-50 split between minimum temperatures of 12°C or below and 22°C or higher in Seoul on May 20 stems from divergent ensemble forecasts in the latest runs from global models such as the ECMWF and GFS. Mid-May climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 14–18°C under variable springtime conditions, but current atmospheric setups—including possible frontal passages and shifts in the subtropical high—introduce wide uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights model spread on timing and strength of any onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, with resolution hinging on updated 48-hour forecasts expected in the coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe closely matched 50-50 split between minimum temperatures of 12°C or below and 22°C or higher in Seoul on May 20 stems from divergent ensemble forecasts in the latest runs from global models such as the ECMWF and GFS. Mid-May climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 14–18°C under variable springtime conditions, but current atmospheric setups—including possible frontal passages and shifts in the subtropical high—introduce wide uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights model spread on timing and strength of any onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, with resolution hinging on updated 48-hour forecasts expected in the coming days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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