Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble models have converged on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C for Seoul today, supported by clear skies that enhance radiative cooling and light southerly flow limiting cold-air advection. This precise alignment of official forecasts and model consensus has produced the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if local urban heat-island effects or subtle wind shifts alter the observed low by 1°C, though such changes would require rapid updates to surface observations or model runs that have not yet materialized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,292 Wol.
$44,292 Wol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,292 Wol.
$44,292 Wol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$2,422 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$4,053 Wol.
100%
15°C
$17,751 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$2,301 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$2,078 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,605 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$3,915 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,686 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,464 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,090 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,928 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble models have converged on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C for Seoul today, supported by clear skies that enhance radiative cooling and light southerly flow limiting cold-air advection. This precise alignment of official forecasts and model consensus has produced the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if local urban heat-island effects or subtle wind shifts alter the observed low by 1°C, though such changes would require rapid updates to surface observations or model runs that have not yet materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,292Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble models have converged on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C for Seoul today, supported by clear skies that enhance radiative cooling and light southerly flow limiting cold-air advection. This precise alignment of official forecasts and model consensus has produced the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if local urban heat-island effects or subtle wind shifts alter the observed low by 1°C, though such changes would require rapid updates to surface observations or model runs that have not yet materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,292Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble models have converged on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C for Seoul today, supported by clear skies that enhance radiative cooling and light southerly flow limiting cold-air advection. This precise alignment of official forecasts and model consensus has produced the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if local urban heat-island effects or subtle wind shifts alter the observed low by 1°C, though such changes would require rapid updates to surface observations or model runs that have not yet materialized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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