Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 44%
14°C 29%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.3%
NOWE
$10,438 Wol.
NOWE
$10,438 Wol.
May 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
44%
14°C
29%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 44%
14°C 29%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.3%
NOWE
$10,438 Wol.
NOWE
$10,438 Wol.
May 16, 2026
7°C or below
$815 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$888 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$555 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$578 Wol.
1%
11°C
$798 Wol.
2%
12°C
$1,426 Wol.
20%
13°C
$911 Wol.
44%
14°C
$778 Wol.
29%
15°C
$1,257 Wol.
7%
16°C
$1,842 Wol.
1%
17°C or higher
$591 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,438Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,438Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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