National Weather Service forecast models project a daytime high near 88°F in Houston on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow that will advect warm, moist Gulf air northward. This setup aligns with the 86°F May climatological average at Hobby Airport and current ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling from sea-breeze or cloud effects. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome above 90 percent because short-range model consensus has tightened over the past 48 hours with little spread below 85°F. A stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or unexpected afternoon convection could still limit the peak to the mid-80s, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 90.4%
84-85°F 7%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
90%
86°F or higher 90.4%
84-85°F 7%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$594 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,281 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,935 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$434 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$133 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$692 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$329 Wol.
1%
84-85°F
$683 Wol.
7%
86°F or higher
$441 Wol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a daytime high near 88°F in Houston on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow that will advect warm, moist Gulf air northward. This setup aligns with the 86°F May climatological average at Hobby Airport and current ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling from sea-breeze or cloud effects. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome above 90 percent because short-range model consensus has tightened over the past 48 hours with little spread below 85°F. A stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or unexpected afternoon convection could still limit the peak to the mid-80s, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,654Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a daytime high near 88°F in Houston on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow that will advect warm, moist Gulf air northward. This setup aligns with the 86°F May climatological average at Hobby Airport and current ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling from sea-breeze or cloud effects. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome above 90 percent because short-range model consensus has tightened over the past 48 hours with little spread below 85°F. A stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or unexpected afternoon convection could still limit the peak to the mid-80s, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$7,654Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUNational Weather Service forecast models project a daytime high near 88°F in Houston on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow that will advect warm, moist Gulf air northward. This setup aligns with the 86°F May climatological average at Hobby Airport and current ensemble guidance showing minimal cooling from sea-breeze or cloud effects. Traders have priced the 86°F-or-higher outcome above 90 percent because short-range model consensus has tightened over the past 48 hours with little spread below 85°F. A stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or unexpected afternoon convection could still limit the peak to the mid-80s, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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