National Weather Service guidance projects partly sunny conditions over Houston today with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, driven by a building upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture. This setup produces a tight contest between 88 °F or higher and 86–87 °F outcomes because afternoon cumulus development or a strengthening sea breeze can cap peak temperatures below the 88 °F threshold, while clearer pockets under the ridge allow readings to reach the low 90s. Ensemble spreads between the NAM and GFS reflect this uncertainty in low-level moisture and convective timing. Historical May normals near 87 °F provide context for the current rebound from early-month cooler readings, with final resolution depending on 12z model updates and observed hourly maxima at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
88°F or higher 45%
86-87°F 44%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F <1%
$27,559 Wol.
$27,559 Wol.
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
44%
88°F or higher
45%
88°F or higher 45%
86-87°F 44%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F <1%
$27,559 Wol.
$27,559 Wol.
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
44%
88°F or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service guidance projects partly sunny conditions over Houston today with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, driven by a building upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture. This setup produces a tight contest between 88 °F or higher and 86–87 °F outcomes because afternoon cumulus development or a strengthening sea breeze can cap peak temperatures below the 88 °F threshold, while clearer pockets under the ridge allow readings to reach the low 90s. Ensemble spreads between the NAM and GFS reflect this uncertainty in low-level moisture and convective timing. Historical May normals near 87 °F provide context for the current rebound from early-month cooler readings, with final resolution depending on 12z model updates and observed hourly maxima at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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