Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Houston’s May 18 high near the long-term normal of 88 °F, with guidance clustering between 84 °F and 90 °F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This places the 88 °F-or-higher outcome at the head of trader pricing because climatological averages and current sea-surface temperatures in the western Gulf favor modest warming rather than a strong cold front or deep moisture surge. Ensemble spread remains modest, limiting the probability of sub-84 °F readings, while the absence of significant upper-level ridging keeps the chance of 90 °F-plus values below 50 %. Updated short-range model output expected from the NHC and local NWS offices over the next 24–36 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 18?
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
34%
88°F or higher
50%
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
69°F or below
$220 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$556 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$780 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$546 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$747 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$401 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$85 Wol.
2%
82-83°F
$40 Wol.
5%
84-85°F
$41 Wol.
12%
86-87°F
$100 Wol.
34%
88°F or higher
$106 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Houston’s May 18 high near the long-term normal of 88 °F, with guidance clustering between 84 °F and 90 °F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This places the 88 °F-or-higher outcome at the head of trader pricing because climatological averages and current sea-surface temperatures in the western Gulf favor modest warming rather than a strong cold front or deep moisture surge. Ensemble spread remains modest, limiting the probability of sub-84 °F readings, while the absence of significant upper-level ridging keeps the chance of 90 °F-plus values below 50 %. Updated short-range model output expected from the NHC and local NWS offices over the next 24–36 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,568Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Houston’s May 18 high near the long-term normal of 88 °F, with guidance clustering between 84 °F and 90 °F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This places the 88 °F-or-higher outcome at the head of trader pricing because climatological averages and current sea-surface temperatures in the western Gulf favor modest warming rather than a strong cold front or deep moisture surge. Ensemble spread remains modest, limiting the probability of sub-84 °F readings, while the absence of significant upper-level ridging keeps the chance of 90 °F-plus values below 50 %. Updated short-range model output expected from the NHC and local NWS offices over the next 24–36 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,568Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOURecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Houston’s May 18 high near the long-term normal of 88 °F, with guidance clustering between 84 °F and 90 °F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This places the 88 °F-or-higher outcome at the head of trader pricing because climatological averages and current sea-surface temperatures in the western Gulf favor modest warming rather than a strong cold front or deep moisture surge. Ensemble spread remains modest, limiting the probability of sub-84 °F readings, while the absence of significant upper-level ridging keeps the chance of 90 °F-plus values below 50 %. Updated short-range model output expected from the NHC and local NWS offices over the next 24–36 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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