Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 20–22°C in Shanghai on May 20, driven by southerly flows, elevated dew points near 19°C, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical May averages of 16–18°C and recent cooler minima earlier in the month, yet the absence of northerly intrusions or clear-sky episodes keeps sub-18°C outcomes less favored while still leaving room for modest variability. Urban heat island effects around Shanghai Pudong International Airport further anchor readings above 19°C, with traders weighting the 20–22°C cluster most heavily amid thin liquidity and expected model updates in the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 20?
15°C or below 98%
22°C 28%
25°C or higher 26%
21°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
May 20, 2026
15°C or below
98%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
14%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
26%
15°C or below 98%
22°C 28%
25°C or higher 26%
21°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
May 20, 2026
15°C or below
$23 Wol.
98%
16°C
$50 Wol.
10%
17°C
$20 Wol.
12%
18°C
$0 Wol.
14%
19°C
$0 Wol.
16%
20°C
$0 Wol.
20%
21°C
$0 Wol.
22%
22°C
$0 Wol.
28%
23°C
$0 Wol.
19%
24°C
$0 Wol.
18%
25°C or higher
$22 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 20–22°C in Shanghai on May 20, driven by southerly flows, elevated dew points near 19°C, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical May averages of 16–18°C and recent cooler minima earlier in the month, yet the absence of northerly intrusions or clear-sky episodes keeps sub-18°C outcomes less favored while still leaving room for modest variability. Urban heat island effects around Shanghai Pudong International Airport further anchor readings above 19°C, with traders weighting the 20–22°C cluster most heavily amid thin liquidity and expected model updates in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$115Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 20–22°C in Shanghai on May 20, driven by southerly flows, elevated dew points near 19°C, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical May averages of 16–18°C and recent cooler minima earlier in the month, yet the absence of northerly intrusions or clear-sky episodes keeps sub-18°C outcomes less favored while still leaving room for modest variability. Urban heat island effects around Shanghai Pudong International Airport further anchor readings above 19°C, with traders weighting the 20–22°C cluster most heavily amid thin liquidity and expected model updates in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$115Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 20–22°C in Shanghai on May 20, driven by southerly flows, elevated dew points near 19°C, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical May averages of 16–18°C and recent cooler minima earlier in the month, yet the absence of northerly intrusions or clear-sky episodes keeps sub-18°C outcomes less favored while still leaving room for modest variability. Urban heat island effects around Shanghai Pudong International Airport further anchor readings above 19°C, with traders weighting the 20–22°C cluster most heavily amid thin liquidity and expected model updates in the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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