Current forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a stable springtime pattern over eastern China with limited cold-air advection and moderate overnight radiative cooling, producing a most-likely low of 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18. These conditions keep boundary-layer moisture and light winds in place, narrowing the range around the climatological May average while leaving single-degree outcomes closely contested. The next major model update cycle within 24 hours will refine moisture and wind details that could shift the low slightly higher or lower. Traders are therefore concentrating capital on the 19 °C and 20 °C bins as the most probable outcomes based on the latest ensemble guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
19°C 35%
20°C 30%
21°C 18%
18°C 13%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
30%
21°C
17%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 30%
21°C 18%
18°C 13%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
30%
21°C
17%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a stable springtime pattern over eastern China with limited cold-air advection and moderate overnight radiative cooling, producing a most-likely low of 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18. These conditions keep boundary-layer moisture and light winds in place, narrowing the range around the climatological May average while leaving single-degree outcomes closely contested. The next major model update cycle within 24 hours will refine moisture and wind details that could shift the low slightly higher or lower. Traders are therefore concentrating capital on the 19 °C and 20 °C bins as the most probable outcomes based on the latest ensemble guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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