Official measurements from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 15 under mainly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatological norms near 19–20°C and consensus guidance from the GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models, which projected modest boundary-layer warming without significant advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing at 20°C reflects trader recognition that station-specific data, rather than downtown urban heat-island effects, governs resolution. Only an unreported sensor anomaly or post-analysis revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 15?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,548 Wol.
$63,548 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,548 Wol.
$63,548 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official measurements from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 15 under mainly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatological norms near 19–20°C and consensus guidance from the GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models, which projected modest boundary-layer warming without significant advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing at 20°C reflects trader recognition that station-specific data, rather than downtown urban heat-island effects, governs resolution. Only an unreported sensor anomaly or post-analysis revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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