Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
36°C or higher 36%
34°C 34%
35°C 28%
33°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
34%
35°C
28%
36°C or higher
36%
36°C or higher 36%
34°C 34%
35°C 28%
33°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
34%
35°C
28%
36°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCRecent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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