Recent KNMI and ECMWF model guidance points to a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, with northwest winds near force 3-4 expected to limit daytime heating and produce variable cloud cover with scattered showers on May 18. Ensemble spreads from GFS show maximum temperatures clustering between 14–16 °C at Schiphol, consistent with recent days’ observed peaks 3–5 °C below the long-term May average of 16–18 °C. Light precipitation and reduced insolation are the dominant factors narrowing the distribution around the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, while any afternoon clearing could push readings toward 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 18?
15°C 35%
14°C 31%
16°C 28%
13°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
34%
15°C
35%
16°C
28%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
15°C 35%
14°C 31%
16°C 28%
13°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$222 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$108 Wol.
1%
11°C
$133 Wol.
1%
12°C
$79 Wol.
3%
13°C
$69 Wol.
10%
14°C
$304 Wol.
34%
15°C
$157 Wol.
35%
16°C
$106 Wol.
28%
17°C
$70 Wol.
7%
18°C or higher
$89 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent KNMI and ECMWF model guidance points to a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, with northwest winds near force 3-4 expected to limit daytime heating and produce variable cloud cover with scattered showers on May 18. Ensemble spreads from GFS show maximum temperatures clustering between 14–16 °C at Schiphol, consistent with recent days’ observed peaks 3–5 °C below the long-term May average of 16–18 °C. Light precipitation and reduced insolation are the dominant factors narrowing the distribution around the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, while any afternoon clearing could push readings toward 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,497Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent KNMI and ECMWF model guidance points to a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, with northwest winds near force 3-4 expected to limit daytime heating and produce variable cloud cover with scattered showers on May 18. Ensemble spreads from GFS show maximum temperatures clustering between 14–16 °C at Schiphol, consistent with recent days’ observed peaks 3–5 °C below the long-term May average of 16–18 °C. Light precipitation and reduced insolation are the dominant factors narrowing the distribution around the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, while any afternoon clearing could push readings toward 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,497Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent KNMI and ECMWF model guidance points to a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, with northwest winds near force 3-4 expected to limit daytime heating and produce variable cloud cover with scattered showers on May 18. Ensemble spreads from GFS show maximum temperatures clustering between 14–16 °C at Schiphol, consistent with recent days’ observed peaks 3–5 °C below the long-term May average of 16–18 °C. Light precipitation and reduced insolation are the dominant factors narrowing the distribution around the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, while any afternoon clearing could push readings toward 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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