Traders see probabilities clustered tightly between 44°C and 48°C for Jeddah’s May 18 maximum because numerical weather models show a classic late-spring heat pattern driven by a strong subtropical ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Persistent northerly flow off the desert interior delivers dry, adiabatically warmed air, while minimal cloud cover allows peak solar insolation near 1,000 W m⁻². Small differences among outcomes arise mainly from forecast spread in daytime wind speeds and any thin high-level moisture that could modestly reduce surface heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers continues to indicate peak readings within this narrow band, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 18?
48°C or higher 24%
46°C 22%
45°C 22%
44°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
38°C or below
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C
3%
43°C
4%
44°C
21%
45°C
22%
46°C
22%
47°C
19%
48°C or higher
24%
48°C or higher 24%
46°C 22%
45°C 22%
44°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
38°C or below
$153 Wol.
1%
39°C
$25 Wol.
1%
40°C
$5 Wol.
2%
41°C
$0 Wol.
2%
42°C
$0 Wol.
3%
43°C
$10 Wol.
4%
44°C
$0 Wol.
21%
45°C
$0 Wol.
22%
46°C
$0 Wol.
22%
47°C
$0 Wol.
19%
48°C or higher
$0 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see probabilities clustered tightly between 44°C and 48°C for Jeddah’s May 18 maximum because numerical weather models show a classic late-spring heat pattern driven by a strong subtropical ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Persistent northerly flow off the desert interior delivers dry, adiabatically warmed air, while minimal cloud cover allows peak solar insolation near 1,000 W m⁻². Small differences among outcomes arise mainly from forecast spread in daytime wind speeds and any thin high-level moisture that could modestly reduce surface heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers continues to indicate peak readings within this narrow band, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$163Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see probabilities clustered tightly between 44°C and 48°C for Jeddah’s May 18 maximum because numerical weather models show a classic late-spring heat pattern driven by a strong subtropical ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Persistent northerly flow off the desert interior delivers dry, adiabatically warmed air, while minimal cloud cover allows peak solar insolation near 1,000 W m⁻². Small differences among outcomes arise mainly from forecast spread in daytime wind speeds and any thin high-level moisture that could modestly reduce surface heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers continues to indicate peak readings within this narrow band, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$163Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNTraders see probabilities clustered tightly between 44°C and 48°C for Jeddah’s May 18 maximum because numerical weather models show a classic late-spring heat pattern driven by a strong subtropical ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. Persistent northerly flow off the desert interior delivers dry, adiabatically warmed air, while minimal cloud cover allows peak solar insolation near 1,000 W m⁻². Small differences among outcomes arise mainly from forecast spread in daytime wind speeds and any thin high-level moisture that could modestly reduce surface heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers continues to indicate peak readings within this narrow band, with the next model update cycle expected to narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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