Latest European forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Paris high temperature of 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 15°C and 33.5% for 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers from a lingering low-pressure system over Western Europe. This cool pattern, below May's typical 18°C average, stems from a stable upper-air trough suppressing warm advection, with recent days seeing highs in the low teens due to frequent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 16°C if partial clearing occurs—or sustained stratus keeping it at 14-15°C; final 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Paris-Le Bourget station will sharpen resolution before evening peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 16?
15°C 39%
16°C 34%
14°C 20%
17°C 4.0%
NOWE
$15,834 Wol.
NOWE
$15,834 Wol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
34%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 39%
16°C 34%
14°C 20%
17°C 4.0%
NOWE
$15,834 Wol.
NOWE
$15,834 Wol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
$6,677 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$491 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$939 Wol.
1%
13°C
$1,018 Wol.
3%
14°C
$1,042 Wol.
20%
15°C
$1,273 Wol.
39%
16°C
$1,816 Wol.
34%
17°C
$658 Wol.
4%
18°C
$803 Wol.
1%
19°C
$522 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$627 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest European forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Paris high temperature of 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 15°C and 33.5% for 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers from a lingering low-pressure system over Western Europe. This cool pattern, below May's typical 18°C average, stems from a stable upper-air trough suppressing warm advection, with recent days seeing highs in the low teens due to frequent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 16°C if partial clearing occurs—or sustained stratus keeping it at 14-15°C; final 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Paris-Le Bourget station will sharpen resolution before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,834Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest European forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Paris high temperature of 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 15°C and 33.5% for 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers from a lingering low-pressure system over Western Europe. This cool pattern, below May's typical 18°C average, stems from a stable upper-air trough suppressing warm advection, with recent days seeing highs in the low teens due to frequent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 16°C if partial clearing occurs—or sustained stratus keeping it at 14-15°C; final 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Paris-Le Bourget station will sharpen resolution before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,834Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European forecast models from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a Paris high temperature of 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 15°C and 33.5% for 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers from a lingering low-pressure system over Western Europe. This cool pattern, below May's typical 18°C average, stems from a stable upper-air trough suppressing warm advection, with recent days seeing highs in the low teens due to frequent overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 16°C if partial clearing occurs—or sustained stratus keeping it at 14-15°C; final 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Paris-Le Bourget station will sharpen resolution before evening peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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