The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago indicates a high temperature near 74°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies, driven by breezy south winds of 15-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south and displacing recent cooler patterns observed earlier in May 2026. This positions the 74°F or higher outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 70s amid low precipitation risk. However, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty—due to potential cloud development or wind shifts—supports notable odds for 72-73°F (27.5%) and 70-71°F (19.5%), above the May 15 climatological normal of 70.2°F. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations at O'Hare, Chicago's official station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 46%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 20%
68-69°F 4.6%
NOWE
$49,525 Wol.
NOWE
$49,525 Wol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
28%
74°F or higher
46%
74°F or higher 46%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 20%
68-69°F 4.6%
NOWE
$49,525 Wol.
NOWE
$49,525 Wol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$14,116 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,661 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$4,813 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,907 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,210 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,454 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$4,132 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$2,834 Wol.
5%
70-71°F
$2,503 Wol.
20%
72-73°F
$2,975 Wol.
28%
74°F or higher
$3,971 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago indicates a high temperature near 74°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies, driven by breezy south winds of 15-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south and displacing recent cooler patterns observed earlier in May 2026. This positions the 74°F or higher outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 70s amid low precipitation risk. However, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty—due to potential cloud development or wind shifts—supports notable odds for 72-73°F (27.5%) and 70-71°F (19.5%), above the May 15 climatological normal of 70.2°F. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations at O'Hare, Chicago's official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,525Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago indicates a high temperature near 74°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies, driven by breezy south winds of 15-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south and displacing recent cooler patterns observed earlier in May 2026. This positions the 74°F or higher outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 70s amid low precipitation risk. However, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty—due to potential cloud development or wind shifts—supports notable odds for 72-73°F (27.5%) and 70-71°F (19.5%), above the May 15 climatological normal of 70.2°F. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations at O'Hare, Chicago's official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$49,525Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago indicates a high temperature near 74°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies, driven by breezy south winds of 15-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south and displacing recent cooler patterns observed earlier in May 2026. This positions the 74°F or higher outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 70s amid low precipitation risk. However, inherent short-range forecast uncertainty—due to potential cloud development or wind shifts—supports notable odds for 72-73°F (27.5%) and 70-71°F (19.5%), above the May 15 climatological normal of 70.2°F. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations at O'Hare, Chicago's official station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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