Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Denver's May 16 high temperature near 79-81°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds 5-10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 78-79°F (31%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) outcomes. This reflects a weak upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting subsidence and efficient boundary-layer heating at Denver International Airport, though inherent model spread of 2-3°F stems from uncertainty in afternoon cumulus cloud development over the urban heat island—thicker decks could cap peaks at 78-79°F, while sparser cover allows 80-81°F. Above-normal temps align with climatological May averages around 77°F amid a warming trend post early-month cool spell; watch evening HRRR updates and 00Z global model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 12%
NOWE
$16,941 Wol.
NOWE
$16,941 Wol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
12%
84°F or higher
4%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 12%
NOWE
$16,941 Wol.
NOWE
$16,941 Wol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$10,685 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,655 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$639 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$574 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$887 Wol.
3%
74-75°F
$459 Wol.
7%
76-77°F
$186 Wol.
14%
78-79°F
$421 Wol.
31%
80-81°F
$379 Wol.
33%
82-83°F
$453 Wol.
12%
84°F or higher
$647 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Denver's May 16 high temperature near 79-81°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds 5-10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 78-79°F (31%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) outcomes. This reflects a weak upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting subsidence and efficient boundary-layer heating at Denver International Airport, though inherent model spread of 2-3°F stems from uncertainty in afternoon cumulus cloud development over the urban heat island—thicker decks could cap peaks at 78-79°F, while sparser cover allows 80-81°F. Above-normal temps align with climatological May averages around 77°F amid a warming trend post early-month cool spell; watch evening HRRR updates and 00Z global model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,941Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Denver's May 16 high temperature near 79-81°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds 5-10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 78-79°F (31%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) outcomes. This reflects a weak upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting subsidence and efficient boundary-layer heating at Denver International Airport, though inherent model spread of 2-3°F stems from uncertainty in afternoon cumulus cloud development over the urban heat island—thicker decks could cap peaks at 78-79°F, while sparser cover allows 80-81°F. Above-normal temps align with climatological May averages around 77°F amid a warming trend post early-month cool spell; watch evening HRRR updates and 00Z global model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$16,941Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Denver's May 16 high temperature near 79-81°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds 5-10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 78-79°F (31%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) outcomes. This reflects a weak upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting subsidence and efficient boundary-layer heating at Denver International Airport, though inherent model spread of 2-3°F stems from uncertainty in afternoon cumulus cloud development over the urban heat island—thicker decks could cap peaks at 78-79°F, while sparser cover allows 80-81°F. Above-normal temps align with climatological May averages around 77°F amid a warming trend post early-month cool spell; watch evening HRRR updates and 00Z global model runs for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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