Latest forecast models from the South African Weather Service indicate a high likelihood of maximum temperatures reaching 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 17, driven by moderate south-easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and stabilizing high pressure over the Atlantic that limits rapid warming. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because minor variations in wind speed or timing of the sea breeze can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical May averages near 19°C provide context for the slight upward bias in current runs. New observational data and updated model ensembles expected overnight will likely refine resolution before markets close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
21°C 36%
20°C 28%
19°C 18%
22°C 2.8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20°C
28%
21°C
36%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
20°C 28%
19°C 18%
22°C 2.8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20°C
28%
21°C
36%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTLatest forecast models from the South African Weather Service indicate a high likelihood of maximum temperatures reaching 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 17, driven by moderate south-easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and stabilizing high pressure over the Atlantic that limits rapid warming. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because minor variations in wind speed or timing of the sea breeze can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical May averages near 19°C provide context for the slight upward bias in current runs. New observational data and updated model ensembles expected overnight will likely refine resolution before markets close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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