Forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 14 °C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, the official resolution site, under partly cloudy skies and persistent moderate southerly winds. This cool post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 3–4 °C below the May climatological average of 17–18 °C, locking in the market’s 99.7 % implied probability for 14 °C. Minor afternoon warming remains possible if cloud cover thins more than anticipated or winds weaken, yet historical analogs and current ensemble spreads show only a slim chance of reaching 15 °C or higher before sunset. Real-time observations through the afternoon will confirm whether the peak settles exactly at the central forecast value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,139 Wol.
$60,139 Wol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,139 Wol.
$60,139 Wol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 14 °C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, the official resolution site, under partly cloudy skies and persistent moderate southerly winds. This cool post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 3–4 °C below the May climatological average of 17–18 °C, locking in the market’s 99.7 % implied probability for 14 °C. Minor afternoon warming remains possible if cloud cover thins more than anticipated or winds weaken, yet historical analogs and current ensemble spreads show only a slim chance of reaching 15 °C or higher before sunset. Real-time observations through the afternoon will confirm whether the peak settles exactly at the central forecast value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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