National Weather Service forecasts and consensus from GFS and NAM models position Miami’s peak temperature today near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow, driving the 88-89°F outcome to 54.5% implied probability. This aligns with May climatology at Miami International Airport, where average daily maxima range 85–87°F and highs above 90°F occur infrequently without enhanced subtropical ridging. Recent observations show no tropical systems or significant moisture intrusions to boost heating or suppress it via convection, while elevated near-surface humidity from earlier-month patterns has limited afternoon mixing. Traders are watching final model updates and official NWS readings through the afternoon peak for any shifts that could push readings into the 90-91°F bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 54%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 3.5%
$33,061 Wol.
$33,061 Wol.
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 54%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 3.5%
$33,061 Wol.
$33,061 Wol.
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts and consensus from GFS and NAM models position Miami’s peak temperature today near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow, driving the 88-89°F outcome to 54.5% implied probability. This aligns with May climatology at Miami International Airport, where average daily maxima range 85–87°F and highs above 90°F occur infrequently without enhanced subtropical ridging. Recent observations show no tropical systems or significant moisture intrusions to boost heating or suppress it via convection, while elevated near-surface humidity from earlier-month patterns has limited afternoon mixing. Traders are watching final model updates and official NWS readings through the afternoon peak for any shifts that could push readings into the 90-91°F bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania