Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS/NAM ensemble consensus place Miami’s May 18 peak temperature most likely in the mid-to-upper 80s following a modest cooldown from early-May heat records near 93 °F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze moderation align with May climatology of 85–87 °F daily maxima, positioning the 86–87 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability and 88–89 °F at 25.5 %. Model spread and variable cloud cover or isolated convection could still shift the high into the 84–85 °F or low-90 °F range before final observations at Miami International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 24%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 24%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
77°F or below
$623 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$896 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$215 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$18 Wol.
5%
84-85°F
$17 Wol.
21%
86-87°F
$155 Wol.
37%
88-89°F
$236 Wol.
24%
90-91°F
$325 Wol.
9%
92-93°F
$206 Wol.
5%
94-95°F
$70 Wol.
2%
96°F or higher
$91 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS/NAM ensemble consensus place Miami’s May 18 peak temperature most likely in the mid-to-upper 80s following a modest cooldown from early-May heat records near 93 °F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze moderation align with May climatology of 85–87 °F daily maxima, positioning the 86–87 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability and 88–89 °F at 25.5 %. Model spread and variable cloud cover or isolated convection could still shift the high into the 84–85 °F or low-90 °F range before final observations at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,839Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS/NAM ensemble consensus place Miami’s May 18 peak temperature most likely in the mid-to-upper 80s following a modest cooldown from early-May heat records near 93 °F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze moderation align with May climatology of 85–87 °F daily maxima, positioning the 86–87 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability and 88–89 °F at 25.5 %. Model spread and variable cloud cover or isolated convection could still shift the high into the 84–85 °F or low-90 °F range before final observations at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,839Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service guidance and GFS/NAM ensemble consensus place Miami’s May 18 peak temperature most likely in the mid-to-upper 80s following a modest cooldown from early-May heat records near 93 °F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze moderation align with May climatology of 85–87 °F daily maxima, positioning the 86–87 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability and 88–89 °F at 25.5 %. Model spread and variable cloud cover or isolated convection could still shift the high into the 84–85 °F or low-90 °F range before final observations at Miami International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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