Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C for Seoul on May 17, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection across the Yellow Sea. This pattern places temperatures modestly above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 23–25 °C brackets. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of peak insolation, and any last-minute adjustments to model-derived dew-point forecasts, with the 26 °C or higher outcome reflecting residual upside risk from stronger advection or delayed cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 29%
24°C 26%
23°C 23%
26°C or higher 17%
NOWE
$122,609 Wol.
NOWE
$122,609 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C or higher
17%
25°C 29%
24°C 26%
23°C 23%
26°C or higher 17%
NOWE
$122,609 Wol.
NOWE
$122,609 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$5,789 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,161 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$9,367 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$10,868 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$14,085 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$15,107 Wol.
1%
22°C
$14,150 Wol.
7%
23°C
$11,033 Wol.
23%
24°C
$7,913 Wol.
26%
25°C
$9,702 Wol.
29%
26°C or higher
$18,696 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C for Seoul on May 17, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection across the Yellow Sea. This pattern places temperatures modestly above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 23–25 °C brackets. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of peak insolation, and any last-minute adjustments to model-derived dew-point forecasts, with the 26 °C or higher outcome reflecting residual upside risk from stronger advection or delayed cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$122,609Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C for Seoul on May 17, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection across the Yellow Sea. This pattern places temperatures modestly above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 23–25 °C brackets. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of peak insolation, and any last-minute adjustments to model-derived dew-point forecasts, with the 26 °C or higher outcome reflecting residual upside risk from stronger advection or delayed cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$122,609Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSICurrent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 24–25 °C for Seoul on May 17, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and modest southerly warm-air advection across the Yellow Sea. This pattern places temperatures modestly above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 23–25 °C brackets. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of peak insolation, and any last-minute adjustments to model-derived dew-point forecasts, with the 26 °C or higher outcome reflecting residual upside risk from stronger advection or delayed cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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