Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a warming pattern over the Korean Peninsula, with southerly flow and clear skies expected to push Seoul's daytime high on May 18 into the mid-20s Celsius range. This synoptic setup, building on the seasonal increase in solar insolation typical for late spring, has shifted trader consensus toward 25°C or higher as the dominant outcome. Mid-May climatology shows average maxima near 23°C, but current model runs indicate potential for modest above-normal readings without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Final KMA updates and any last-minute adjustments to wind or humidity profiles will determine whether the high settles precisely at 24°C or exceeds the 25°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 63%
24°C 20%
23°C 13%
22°C 8%
$14,183 Wol.
$14,183 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
13%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
63%
25°C or higher 63%
24°C 20%
23°C 13%
22°C 8%
$14,183 Wol.
$14,183 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
13%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a warming pattern over the Korean Peninsula, with southerly flow and clear skies expected to push Seoul's daytime high on May 18 into the mid-20s Celsius range. This synoptic setup, building on the seasonal increase in solar insolation typical for late spring, has shifted trader consensus toward 25°C or higher as the dominant outcome. Mid-May climatology shows average maxima near 23°C, but current model runs indicate potential for modest above-normal readings without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Final KMA updates and any last-minute adjustments to wind or humidity profiles will determine whether the high settles precisely at 24°C or exceeds the 25°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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