Beijing’s highest temperature on May 16 is overwhelmingly priced at 25 °C or below because short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus shows a cool northeasterly flow keeping daytime maxima between 22 °C and 25 °C. This pattern, reinforced by recent surface observations and upper-level trough positioning, suppresses the seasonal warming that normally produces late-May highs near 27–28 °C. The market’s near-certain outcome reflects the low likelihood of rapid model shifts or unexpected clear-sky heating before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden breakdown of the cool advection or stronger insolation under clearing skies could still push readings above 25 °C, but current observational trends and ensemble spread make that scenario remote before midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$83,000 Wol.
$83,000 Wol.
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
100%
26°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$83,000 Wol.
$83,000 Wol.
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
$14,888 Wol.
100%
26°C
$15,394 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$6,863 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$7,280 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,486 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,554 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$6,336 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$2,652 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,288 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Beijing’s highest temperature on May 16 is overwhelmingly priced at 25 °C or below because short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus shows a cool northeasterly flow keeping daytime maxima between 22 °C and 25 °C. This pattern, reinforced by recent surface observations and upper-level trough positioning, suppresses the seasonal warming that normally produces late-May highs near 27–28 °C. The market’s near-certain outcome reflects the low likelihood of rapid model shifts or unexpected clear-sky heating before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden breakdown of the cool advection or stronger insolation under clearing skies could still push readings above 25 °C, but current observational trends and ensemble spread make that scenario remote before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$83,000Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Beijing’s highest temperature on May 16 is overwhelmingly priced at 25 °C or below because short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus shows a cool northeasterly flow keeping daytime maxima between 22 °C and 25 °C. This pattern, reinforced by recent surface observations and upper-level trough positioning, suppresses the seasonal warming that normally produces late-May highs near 27–28 °C. The market’s near-certain outcome reflects the low likelihood of rapid model shifts or unexpected clear-sky heating before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden breakdown of the cool advection or stronger insolation under clearing skies could still push readings above 25 °C, but current observational trends and ensemble spread make that scenario remote before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$83,000Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Beijing’s highest temperature on May 16 is overwhelmingly priced at 25 °C or below because short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus shows a cool northeasterly flow keeping daytime maxima between 22 °C and 25 °C. This pattern, reinforced by recent surface observations and upper-level trough positioning, suppresses the seasonal warming that normally produces late-May highs near 27–28 °C. The market’s near-certain outcome reflects the low likelihood of rapid model shifts or unexpected clear-sky heating before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden breakdown of the cool advection or stronger insolation under clearing skies could still push readings above 25 °C, but current observational trends and ensemble spread make that scenario remote before midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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