PAGASA's 5-day outlook, updated May 15 morning, forecasts a 34°C high for Port Area, Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with easterlies bringing a 60% chance of isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 34°C versus 33% for 35°C. This tight split reflects inherent forecast uncertainty in peak air temperatures, where minor differences in cloud cover, light winds, or urban heat island amplification around PAGASA stations like Science Garden or airport could nudge observations up 1°C, especially after today's projected 35°C high and recent heat index peaks over 43°C in Quezon City. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 33-35°C amid the dry season subsidence, with PAGASA's 4:00 PM bulletin today likely to influence final positioning before resolution via official daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
35°C 37%
34°C 34%
33°C 8%
36°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
34%
35°C
37%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 34%
33°C 8%
36°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
$462 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,509 Wol.
2%
31°C
$1,874 Wol.
3%
32°C
$301 Wol.
5%
33°C
$653 Wol.
8%
34°C
$460 Wol.
34%
35°C
$267 Wol.
37%
36°C
$369 Wol.
5%
37°C
$359 Wol.
1%
38°C
$229 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$317 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5-day outlook, updated May 15 morning, forecasts a 34°C high for Port Area, Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with easterlies bringing a 60% chance of isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 34°C versus 33% for 35°C. This tight split reflects inherent forecast uncertainty in peak air temperatures, where minor differences in cloud cover, light winds, or urban heat island amplification around PAGASA stations like Science Garden or airport could nudge observations up 1°C, especially after today's projected 35°C high and recent heat index peaks over 43°C in Quezon City. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 33-35°C amid the dry season subsidence, with PAGASA's 4:00 PM bulletin today likely to influence final positioning before resolution via official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,801Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5-day outlook, updated May 15 morning, forecasts a 34°C high for Port Area, Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with easterlies bringing a 60% chance of isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 34°C versus 33% for 35°C. This tight split reflects inherent forecast uncertainty in peak air temperatures, where minor differences in cloud cover, light winds, or urban heat island amplification around PAGASA stations like Science Garden or airport could nudge observations up 1°C, especially after today's projected 35°C high and recent heat index peaks over 43°C in Quezon City. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 33-35°C amid the dry season subsidence, with PAGASA's 4:00 PM bulletin today likely to influence final positioning before resolution via official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$7,801Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's 5-day outlook, updated May 15 morning, forecasts a 34°C high for Port Area, Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with easterlies bringing a 60% chance of isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 34°C versus 33% for 35°C. This tight split reflects inherent forecast uncertainty in peak air temperatures, where minor differences in cloud cover, light winds, or urban heat island amplification around PAGASA stations like Science Garden or airport could nudge observations up 1°C, especially after today's projected 35°C high and recent heat index peaks over 43°C in Quezon City. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 33-35°C amid the dry season subsidence, with PAGASA's 4:00 PM bulletin today likely to influence final positioning before resolution via official daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania