Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 25°C high in Busan on May 15 at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (26%) and 24°C (21%), reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting exactly 25°C under sunny skies and light winds. Korea Meteorological Administration updates show clear conditions persisting through May 14 with highs near 25°C, supporting a warming trend above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23°C driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Recent observational data from the past week indicates steady daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid seasonal solar heating, with low precipitation risk enhancing diurnal temperature ranges. Uncertainties remain from potential afternoon sea breezes or model divergences, with fresh KMA guidance expected overnight potentially refining these odds ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
25°C 38%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
27°C 11%
NOWE
$10,584 Wol.
NOWE
$10,584 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
38%
26°C
28%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 38%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
27°C 11%
NOWE
$10,584 Wol.
NOWE
$10,584 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$2,914 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,214 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,051 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$654 Wol.
1%
23°C
$768 Wol.
2%
24°C
$725 Wol.
22%
25°C
$435 Wol.
38%
26°C
$339 Wol.
28%
27°C
$773 Wol.
11%
28°C
$1,226 Wol.
3%
29°C or higher
$488 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 25°C high in Busan on May 15 at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (26%) and 24°C (21%), reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting exactly 25°C under sunny skies and light winds. Korea Meteorological Administration updates show clear conditions persisting through May 14 with highs near 25°C, supporting a warming trend above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23°C driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Recent observational data from the past week indicates steady daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid seasonal solar heating, with low precipitation risk enhancing diurnal temperature ranges. Uncertainties remain from potential afternoon sea breezes or model divergences, with fresh KMA guidance expected overnight potentially refining these odds ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,584Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 25°C high in Busan on May 15 at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (26%) and 24°C (21%), reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting exactly 25°C under sunny skies and light winds. Korea Meteorological Administration updates show clear conditions persisting through May 14 with highs near 25°C, supporting a warming trend above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23°C driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Recent observational data from the past week indicates steady daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid seasonal solar heating, with low precipitation risk enhancing diurnal temperature ranges. Uncertainties remain from potential afternoon sea breezes or model divergences, with fresh KMA guidance expected overnight potentially refining these odds ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,584Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 25°C high in Busan on May 15 at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (26%) and 24°C (21%), reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting exactly 25°C under sunny skies and light winds. Korea Meteorological Administration updates show clear conditions persisting through May 14 with highs near 25°C, supporting a warming trend above the mid-May climatological average of 22–23°C driven by high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Recent observational data from the past week indicates steady daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid seasonal solar heating, with low precipitation risk enhancing diurnal temperature ranges. Uncertainties remain from potential afternoon sea breezes or model divergences, with fresh KMA guidance expected overnight potentially refining these odds ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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