Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (44.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on May 16, closely tracking the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from the recent dissipation of a disruptive cold front on May 11-12, which brought gale-force winds exceeding 100 km/h, heavy rainfall, and cooler conditions, now giving way to stabilizing high-pressure systems allowing a modest rebound from sub-20°C highs earlier in the week. Seasonal autumn climatology supports this range, with May averages of 19-22°C based on historical SAWS data at key stations like Cape Town International Airport; model ensembles show low variance, though sea breezes could cap peaks. Final measurements from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 42%
22°C 30%
20°C 15%
19°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
30%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
22°C 30%
20°C 15%
19°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
16°C or below
$315 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$259 Wol.
1%
18°C
$346 Wol.
3%
19°C
$584 Wol.
6%
20°C
$364 Wol.
15%
21°C
$594 Wol.
42%
22°C
$641 Wol.
30%
23°C
$459 Wol.
3%
24°C
$231 Wol.
1%
25°C
$179 Wol.
1%
26°C or higher
$268 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (44.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on May 16, closely tracking the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from the recent dissipation of a disruptive cold front on May 11-12, which brought gale-force winds exceeding 100 km/h, heavy rainfall, and cooler conditions, now giving way to stabilizing high-pressure systems allowing a modest rebound from sub-20°C highs earlier in the week. Seasonal autumn climatology supports this range, with May averages of 19-22°C based on historical SAWS data at key stations like Cape Town International Airport; model ensembles show low variance, though sea breezes could cap peaks. Final measurements from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,238Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (44.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on May 16, closely tracking the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from the recent dissipation of a disruptive cold front on May 11-12, which brought gale-force winds exceeding 100 km/h, heavy rainfall, and cooler conditions, now giving way to stabilizing high-pressure systems allowing a modest rebound from sub-20°C highs earlier in the week. Seasonal autumn climatology supports this range, with May averages of 19-22°C based on historical SAWS data at key stations like Cape Town International Airport; model ensembles show low variance, though sea breezes could cap peaks. Final measurements from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$4,238Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (44.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on May 16, closely tracking the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from the recent dissipation of a disruptive cold front on May 11-12, which brought gale-force winds exceeding 100 km/h, heavy rainfall, and cooler conditions, now giving way to stabilizing high-pressure systems allowing a modest rebound from sub-20°C highs earlier in the week. Seasonal autumn climatology supports this range, with May averages of 19-22°C based on historical SAWS data at key stations like Cape Town International Airport; model ensembles show low variance, though sea breezes could cap peaks. Final measurements from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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