Latest model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensembles like ECMWF and GFS points to a Guangzhou high of 27–28°C on May 17 under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a weakening subtropical ridge. These conditions introduce modest cooling relative to the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C, where higher readings typically occur with clearer skies and stronger southerly flow. Trader positioning clusters tightly around the 26–29°C band because small shifts in rainfall timing or boundary-layer moisture can easily swing the peak by 1–2°C, while historical analogs show comparable pre-monsoon days resolving near this range when humidity remains elevated. Official station observations will finalize the market by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
28°C 33%
27°C 24%
26°C 17%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
33%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
27°C 24%
26°C 17%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
33%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGLatest model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensembles like ECMWF and GFS points to a Guangzhou high of 27–28°C on May 17 under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a weakening subtropical ridge. These conditions introduce modest cooling relative to the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C, where higher readings typically occur with clearer skies and stronger southerly flow. Trader positioning clusters tightly around the 26–29°C band because small shifts in rainfall timing or boundary-layer moisture can easily swing the peak by 1–2°C, while historical analogs show comparable pre-monsoon days resolving near this range when humidity remains elevated. Official station observations will finalize the market by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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