Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on May 19, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allow modest overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average May minimum of 24.1°C and the official seasonal outlook projecting normal to above-normal temperatures through July amid ongoing regional warming trends. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in wind speed or urban heat-island effects could easily nudge the overnight low by 1°C, while lower-probability extremes remain distant given the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences this far in advance. Daily forecast updates from HKO will provide the next key data points for refinement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?
24°C 26%
27°C 19%
25°C 18%
26°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
15%
27°C
19%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 26%
27°C 19%
25°C 18%
26°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
19°C or below
$322 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$682 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$281 Wol.
3%
22°C
$0 Wol.
7%
23°C
$0 Wol.
8%
24°C
$4 Wol.
20%
25°C
$24 Wol.
23%
26°C
$5 Wol.
15%
27°C
$5 Wol.
19%
28°C
$199 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$116 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on May 19, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allow modest overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average May minimum of 24.1°C and the official seasonal outlook projecting normal to above-normal temperatures through July amid ongoing regional warming trends. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in wind speed or urban heat-island effects could easily nudge the overnight low by 1°C, while lower-probability extremes remain distant given the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences this far in advance. Daily forecast updates from HKO will provide the next key data points for refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,638Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on May 19, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allow modest overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average May minimum of 24.1°C and the official seasonal outlook projecting normal to above-normal temperatures through July amid ongoing regional warming trends. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in wind speed or urban heat-island effects could easily nudge the overnight low by 1°C, while lower-probability extremes remain distant given the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences this far in advance. Daily forecast updates from HKO will provide the next key data points for refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,638Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on May 19, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allow modest overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average May minimum of 24.1°C and the official seasonal outlook projecting normal to above-normal temperatures through July amid ongoing regional warming trends. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in wind speed or urban heat-island effects could easily nudge the overnight low by 1°C, while lower-probability extremes remain distant given the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences this far in advance. Daily forecast updates from HKO will provide the next key data points for refinement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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