Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum near 23°C for May 17, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that maintains easterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent, and extensive cloud cover suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in the boundary layer. These subtropical May conditions align closely with climatological norms at the official King’s Park station, where overnight lows typically average around 24°C. The tight clustering of model guidance around this value limits downside risk to 22°C or below while keeping higher outcomes improbable absent unexpected clear intervals or wind shifts. Traders monitor the evening Hong Kong Observatory bulletin and latest GFS/ECMWF runs for any final adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 89%
22°C 14.8%
21°C 3.8%
20°C <1%
$15,400 Wol.
$15,400 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
89%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 89%
22°C 14.8%
21°C 3.8%
20°C <1%
$15,400 Wol.
$15,400 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
89%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum near 23°C for May 17, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that maintains easterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent, and extensive cloud cover suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in the boundary layer. These subtropical May conditions align closely with climatological norms at the official King’s Park station, where overnight lows typically average around 24°C. The tight clustering of model guidance around this value limits downside risk to 22°C or below while keeping higher outcomes improbable absent unexpected clear intervals or wind shifts. Traders monitor the evening Hong Kong Observatory bulletin and latest GFS/ECMWF runs for any final adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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