Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for May 15 amid normal to above-normal seasonal conditions, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 25°C at 38% implied probability edging out 24°C at 31%. Subtropical humidity and southerly winds from the southwest monsoon suppress radiative cooling overnight, while variable low-level cloud cover introduces uncertainty—partly cloudy skies could allow slight drops to 24°C, versus thicker clouds trapping heat near 26°C. Urban heat island effects in the city further temper lows above historical May averages of 23–25°C. Model consensus shows tight spread, with final HKO updates expected today clarifying steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 38%
24°C 32%
26°C 23%
23°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
32%
25°C
38%
26°C
23%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
24°C 32%
26°C 23%
23°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$370 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$449 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$73 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$77 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$143 Wol.
1%
23°C
$81 Wol.
13%
24°C
$75 Wol.
32%
25°C
$51 Wol.
38%
26°C
$152 Wol.
23%
27°C
$296 Wol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,738 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for May 15 amid normal to above-normal seasonal conditions, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 25°C at 38% implied probability edging out 24°C at 31%. Subtropical humidity and southerly winds from the southwest monsoon suppress radiative cooling overnight, while variable low-level cloud cover introduces uncertainty—partly cloudy skies could allow slight drops to 24°C, versus thicker clouds trapping heat near 26°C. Urban heat island effects in the city further temper lows above historical May averages of 23–25°C. Model consensus shows tight spread, with final HKO updates expected today clarifying steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,480Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for May 15 amid normal to above-normal seasonal conditions, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 25°C at 38% implied probability edging out 24°C at 31%. Subtropical humidity and southerly winds from the southwest monsoon suppress radiative cooling overnight, while variable low-level cloud cover introduces uncertainty—partly cloudy skies could allow slight drops to 24°C, versus thicker clouds trapping heat near 26°C. Urban heat island effects in the city further temper lows above historical May averages of 23–25°C. Model consensus shows tight spread, with final HKO updates expected today clarifying steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,480Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for May 15 amid normal to above-normal seasonal conditions, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 25°C at 38% implied probability edging out 24°C at 31%. Subtropical humidity and southerly winds from the southwest monsoon suppress radiative cooling overnight, while variable low-level cloud cover introduces uncertainty—partly cloudy skies could allow slight drops to 24°C, versus thicker clouds trapping heat near 26°C. Urban heat island effects in the city further temper lows above historical May averages of 23–25°C. Model consensus shows tight spread, with final HKO updates expected today clarifying steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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