Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,007 Wol.
$31,007 Wol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,007 Wol.
$31,007 Wol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$618 Wol.
No
18°C
$821 Wol.
No
19°C
$973 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,210 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,062 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,948 Wol.
No
23°C
$5,603 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,174 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,812 Wol.
No
26°C
$4,804 Wol.
Yes
27°C or higher
$6,982 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,007Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$31,007Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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