Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's May 17 high temperature near 27-28°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 52.5%, as increased cloudiness and 50-70% shower probabilities from a moist southerly flow cap daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Differentiating factors include precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies favor 27°C by suppressing solar insolation, while afternoon clearing could boost urban heat island effects to 28°C; 31°C or higher at 50% reflects outlier dry scenarios reminiscent of May 13's 31°C peak under clearer conditions. Official resolution uses Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations; expect refined guidance from today's 12Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates. Climatological May highs average 29°C, underscoring short-term uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
27°C 21%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
17%
27°C
29%
28°C
23%
29°C
10%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
27°C 21%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$302 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$100 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Wol.
1%
24°C
$25 Wol.
4%
25°C
$20 Wol.
6%
26°C
$9 Wol.
17%
27°C
$343 Wol.
29%
28°C
$62 Wol.
23%
29°C
$22 Wol.
10%
30°C
$17 Wol.
5%
31°C or higher
$570 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's May 17 high temperature near 27-28°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 52.5%, as increased cloudiness and 50-70% shower probabilities from a moist southerly flow cap daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Differentiating factors include precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies favor 27°C by suppressing solar insolation, while afternoon clearing could boost urban heat island effects to 28°C; 31°C or higher at 50% reflects outlier dry scenarios reminiscent of May 13's 31°C peak under clearer conditions. Official resolution uses Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations; expect refined guidance from today's 12Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates. Climatological May highs average 29°C, underscoring short-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,570Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's May 17 high temperature near 27-28°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 52.5%, as increased cloudiness and 50-70% shower probabilities from a moist southerly flow cap daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Differentiating factors include precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies favor 27°C by suppressing solar insolation, while afternoon clearing could boost urban heat island effects to 28°C; 31°C or higher at 50% reflects outlier dry scenarios reminiscent of May 13's 31°C peak under clearer conditions. Official resolution uses Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations; expect refined guidance from today's 12Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates. Climatological May highs average 29°C, underscoring short-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,570Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZLatest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's May 17 high temperature near 27-28°C, driving trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 52.5%, as increased cloudiness and 50-70% shower probabilities from a moist southerly flow cap daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Differentiating factors include precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies favor 27°C by suppressing solar insolation, while afternoon clearing could boost urban heat island effects to 28°C; 31°C or higher at 50% reflects outlier dry scenarios reminiscent of May 13's 31°C peak under clearer conditions. Official resolution uses Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations; expect refined guidance from today's 12Z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates. Climatological May highs average 29°C, underscoring short-term uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania