Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's May 17 high temperature, with 71°F or below leading at 33.5% amid a fragmented distribution centering near the seasonal average of 72°F. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project mild conditions under weak upper-level flow, but key variables like diurnally driven cumulus cloud cover, potential morning stratus, and light winds could cap peaks in the low 70s or allow clearer skies to reach 76-77°F. Historical May 17 highs range from 47°F (1983 snow event) to 92°F, underscoring spring variability. New 12z model runs and afternoon Denver-area soundings expected to clarify trajectories before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 86%
72-73°F 9%
74-75°F 3.0%
76-77°F 1.7%
71°F or below
86%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 86%
72-73°F 9%
74-75°F 3.0%
76-77°F 1.7%
71°F or below
86%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's May 17 high temperature, with 71°F or below leading at 33.5% amid a fragmented distribution centering near the seasonal average of 72°F. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project mild conditions under weak upper-level flow, but key variables like diurnally driven cumulus cloud cover, potential morning stratus, and light winds could cap peaks in the low 70s or allow clearer skies to reach 76-77°F. Historical May 17 highs range from 47°F (1983 snow event) to 92°F, underscoring spring variability. New 12z model runs and afternoon Denver-area soundings expected to clarify trajectories before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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