Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C (99.8% implied probability) as Munich's highest temperature today at the airport station, backed by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting a midday peak there under persistent low-pressure systems and cool polar maritime airflow. Recent DWD updates highlight wechselhaft conditions with showers and isolated thunderstorms capping solar insolation after morning lows near 5°C and early highs approaching 14°C amid partial cloud breaks. Historical May averages near 18°C are suppressed by this unseasonal cold snap during the Eisheiligen period. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for added heating to 16°C+ or heavier precipitation dropping the max to 13°C; final DWD observations will resolve as evening data finalizes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
15°C 99.8%
16°C <1%
13°C <1%
17°C or higher <1%
$64,162 Wol.
$64,162 Wol.
May 15, 2026
13°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.8%
16°C <1%
13°C <1%
17°C or higher <1%
$64,162 Wol.
$64,162 Wol.
May 15, 2026
13°C
$6,814 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$12,931 Wol.
100%
16°C
$9,763 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$6,388 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C (99.8% implied probability) as Munich's highest temperature today at the airport station, backed by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting a midday peak there under persistent low-pressure systems and cool polar maritime airflow. Recent DWD updates highlight wechselhaft conditions with showers and isolated thunderstorms capping solar insolation after morning lows near 5°C and early highs approaching 14°C amid partial cloud breaks. Historical May averages near 18°C are suppressed by this unseasonal cold snap during the Eisheiligen period. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for added heating to 16°C+ or heavier precipitation dropping the max to 13°C; final DWD observations will resolve as evening data finalizes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$64,162Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Okno sporu
Ostateczny
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C (99.8% implied probability) as Munich's highest temperature today at the airport station, backed by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting a midday peak there under persistent low-pressure systems and cool polar maritime airflow. Recent DWD updates highlight wechselhaft conditions with showers and isolated thunderstorms capping solar insolation after morning lows near 5°C and early highs approaching 14°C amid partial cloud breaks. Historical May averages near 18°C are suppressed by this unseasonal cold snap during the Eisheiligen period. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for added heating to 16°C+ or heavier precipitation dropping the max to 13°C; final DWD observations will resolve as evening data finalizes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$64,162Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Okno sporu
Ostateczny
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C (99.8% implied probability) as Munich's highest temperature today at the airport station, backed by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting a midday peak there under persistent low-pressure systems and cool polar maritime airflow. Recent DWD updates highlight wechselhaft conditions with showers and isolated thunderstorms capping solar insolation after morning lows near 5°C and early highs approaching 14°C amid partial cloud breaks. Historical May averages near 18°C are suppressed by this unseasonal cold snap during the Eisheiligen period. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for added heating to 16°C+ or heavier precipitation dropping the max to 13°C; final DWD observations will resolve as evening data finalizes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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