Trader consensus pins nearly 100% implied probability on a 28°C high temperature in Taipei today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirming the maximum reached 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the Meiyu season's early onset. Overcast skies suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models projecting a 26–28°C daytime range rather than typical mid-May highs near 29–30°C, as frontal activity and moist southerly flows limited convective heating. Historical analogs for May 15 show averages around 28–29°C, but current conditions match the lower end. Final CWA daily report could confirm resolution, though a late-afternoon clearing for a brief 29°C spike remains a slim scenario requiring rapid model divergence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$66,017 Wol.
$66,017 Wol.
May 15, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$66,017 Wol.
$66,017 Wol.
May 15, 2026
21°C or below
$1,028 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,934 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,782 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,390 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,751 Wol.
No
26°C
$12,856 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,197 Wol.
No
28°C
$12,433 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$6,023 Wol.
No
30°C
$6,930 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$10,694 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus pins nearly 100% implied probability on a 28°C high temperature in Taipei today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirming the maximum reached 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the Meiyu season's early onset. Overcast skies suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models projecting a 26–28°C daytime range rather than typical mid-May highs near 29–30°C, as frontal activity and moist southerly flows limited convective heating. Historical analogs for May 15 show averages around 28–29°C, but current conditions match the lower end. Final CWA daily report could confirm resolution, though a late-afternoon clearing for a brief 29°C spike remains a slim scenario requiring rapid model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$66,017Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus pins nearly 100% implied probability on a 28°C high temperature in Taipei today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirming the maximum reached 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the Meiyu season's early onset. Overcast skies suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models projecting a 26–28°C daytime range rather than typical mid-May highs near 29–30°C, as frontal activity and moist southerly flows limited convective heating. Historical analogs for May 15 show averages around 28–29°C, but current conditions match the lower end. Final CWA daily report could confirm resolution, though a late-afternoon clearing for a brief 29°C spike remains a slim scenario requiring rapid model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$66,017Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus pins nearly 100% implied probability on a 28°C high temperature in Taipei today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirming the maximum reached 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the Meiyu season's early onset. Overcast skies suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models projecting a 26–28°C daytime range rather than typical mid-May highs near 29–30°C, as frontal activity and moist southerly flows limited convective heating. Historical analogs for May 15 show averages around 28–29°C, but current conditions match the lower end. Final CWA daily report could confirm resolution, though a late-afternoon clearing for a brief 29°C spike remains a slim scenario requiring rapid model divergence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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