Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Wellington on May 16, driven by persistent southerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that limit surface heating. This pattern aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 14 °C, but cool air advection from the Southern Ocean has suppressed temperatures below typical levels. Official observations at Wellington International Airport, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the peak by evening. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5 % implied probability for 13 °C incorporates these stable forecast signals, while the slim 19 % chance for 14 °C accounts for minor model uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 81%
14°C 21%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
NOWE
$32,440 Wol.
NOWE
$32,440 Wol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
81%
14°C
21%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 81%
14°C 21%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
NOWE
$32,440 Wol.
NOWE
$32,440 Wol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
$4,113 Wol.
81%
14°C
$3,836 Wol.
21%
15°C
$3,139 Wol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$2,627 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Wellington on May 16, driven by persistent southerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that limit surface heating. This pattern aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 14 °C, but cool air advection from the Southern Ocean has suppressed temperatures below typical levels. Official observations at Wellington International Airport, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the peak by evening. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5 % implied probability for 13 °C incorporates these stable forecast signals, while the slim 19 % chance for 14 °C accounts for minor model uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,440Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Wellington on May 16, driven by persistent southerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that limit surface heating. This pattern aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 14 °C, but cool air advection from the Southern Ocean has suppressed temperatures below typical levels. Official observations at Wellington International Airport, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the peak by evening. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5 % implied probability for 13 °C incorporates these stable forecast signals, while the slim 19 % chance for 14 °C accounts for minor model uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$32,440Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Wellington on May 16, driven by persistent southerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that limit surface heating. This pattern aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 14 °C, but cool air advection from the Southern Ocean has suppressed temperatures below typical levels. Official observations at Wellington International Airport, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the peak by evening. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5 % implied probability for 13 °C incorporates these stable forecast signals, while the slim 19 % chance for 14 °C accounts for minor model uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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