Recent developments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where a new Ebola outbreak was confirmed on May 15 with 246 suspected cases and 13 laboratory-verified infections in remote Ituri province, have not altered the low risk of U.S. importation. CDC surveillance data show no confirmed cases in the United States, consistent with historical patterns where only isolated importations occurred during the 2014 West Africa epidemic. Strict airport screening, rapid contact tracing protocols, and the virus’s limited airborne transmission keep the probability of a domestic case by June 30 minimal. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89 percent because containment efforts, including ring vaccination and 42-day monitoring windows, have repeatedly ended prior DRC outbreaks before cross-border spread, though ongoing model updates from the CDC and WHO could shift sentiment if case counts rise sharply.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEbola case in the US by June 30?
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent developments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where a new Ebola outbreak was confirmed on May 15 with 246 suspected cases and 13 laboratory-verified infections in remote Ituri province, have not altered the low risk of U.S. importation. CDC surveillance data show no confirmed cases in the United States, consistent with historical patterns where only isolated importations occurred during the 2014 West Africa epidemic. Strict airport screening, rapid contact tracing protocols, and the virus’s limited airborne transmission keep the probability of a domestic case by June 30 minimal. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89 percent because containment efforts, including ring vaccination and 42-day monitoring windows, have repeatedly ended prior DRC outbreaks before cross-border spread, though ongoing model updates from the CDC and WHO could shift sentiment if case counts rise sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$173Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent developments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where a new Ebola outbreak was confirmed on May 15 with 246 suspected cases and 13 laboratory-verified infections in remote Ituri province, have not altered the low risk of U.S. importation. CDC surveillance data show no confirmed cases in the United States, consistent with historical patterns where only isolated importations occurred during the 2014 West Africa epidemic. Strict airport screening, rapid contact tracing protocols, and the virus’s limited airborne transmission keep the probability of a domestic case by June 30 minimal. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89 percent because containment efforts, including ring vaccination and 42-day monitoring windows, have repeatedly ended prior DRC outbreaks before cross-border spread, though ongoing model updates from the CDC and WHO could shift sentiment if case counts rise sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$173Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where a new Ebola outbreak was confirmed on May 15 with 246 suspected cases and 13 laboratory-verified infections in remote Ituri province, have not altered the low risk of U.S. importation. CDC surveillance data show no confirmed cases in the United States, consistent with historical patterns where only isolated importations occurred during the 2014 West Africa epidemic. Strict airport screening, rapid contact tracing protocols, and the virus’s limited airborne transmission keep the probability of a domestic case by June 30 minimal. Traders price the “No” outcome at 89 percent because containment efforts, including ring vaccination and 42-day monitoring windows, have repeatedly ended prior DRC outbreaks before cross-border spread, though ongoing model updates from the CDC and WHO could shift sentiment if case counts rise sharply.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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