Trader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
28°C 28%
27°C 21%
26°C 14%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
21%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 28%
27°C 21%
26°C 14%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$754 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$76 Wol.
1%
24°C
$100 Wol.
4%
25°C
$0 Wol.
5%
26°C
$0 Wol.
14%
27°C
$0 Wol.
21%
28°C
$0 Wol.
28%
29°C
$0 Wol.
10%
30°C
$1 Wol.
9%
31°C
$17 Wol.
3%
32°C or higher
$18 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$966Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$966Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGTrader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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