A developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Shenzhen on May 16, sharply limiting solar insolation and suppressing the daily temperature maximum. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration projects peak readings clustered near 26–28 °C, with persistent overcast skies and showers expected to enhance evaporative cooling and maintain high humidity. These conditions align closely with the market’s tight spread between 26 °C (34.5 %) and 28 °C (20.5 %), as traders weigh modest model differences in the exact timing of heaviest rain and any brief breaks in cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the Pearl River Delta places this range slightly below the seasonal average high of 29–30 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup is the dominant near-term constraint.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
26°C 55%
27°C 11%
28°C 9%
29°C 4.1%
NOWE
$29,001 Wol.
NOWE
$29,001 Wol.
May 16, 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
55%
27°C
11%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
27°C 11%
28°C 9%
29°C 4.1%
NOWE
$29,001 Wol.
NOWE
$29,001 Wol.
May 16, 2026
25°C
$4,339 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5,297 Wol.
55%
27°C
$1,192 Wol.
11%
28°C
$2,065 Wol.
9%
29°C
$1,868 Wol.
4%
30°C or higher
$5,173 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Shenzhen on May 16, sharply limiting solar insolation and suppressing the daily temperature maximum. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration projects peak readings clustered near 26–28 °C, with persistent overcast skies and showers expected to enhance evaporative cooling and maintain high humidity. These conditions align closely with the market’s tight spread between 26 °C (34.5 %) and 28 °C (20.5 %), as traders weigh modest model differences in the exact timing of heaviest rain and any brief breaks in cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the Pearl River Delta places this range slightly below the seasonal average high of 29–30 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup is the dominant near-term constraint.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,001Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Shenzhen on May 16, sharply limiting solar insolation and suppressing the daily temperature maximum. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration projects peak readings clustered near 26–28 °C, with persistent overcast skies and showers expected to enhance evaporative cooling and maintain high humidity. These conditions align closely with the market’s tight spread between 26 °C (34.5 %) and 28 °C (20.5 %), as traders weigh modest model differences in the exact timing of heaviest rain and any brief breaks in cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the Pearl River Delta places this range slightly below the seasonal average high of 29–30 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup is the dominant near-term constraint.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$29,001Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
A developing low-pressure system over the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Shenzhen on May 16, sharply limiting solar insolation and suppressing the daily temperature maximum. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration projects peak readings clustered near 26–28 °C, with persistent overcast skies and showers expected to enhance evaporative cooling and maintain high humidity. These conditions align closely with the market’s tight spread between 26 °C (34.5 %) and 28 °C (20.5 %), as traders weigh modest model differences in the exact timing of heaviest rain and any brief breaks in cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the Pearl River Delta places this range slightly below the seasonal average high of 29–30 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup is the dominant near-term constraint.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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