Trader consensus currently favors zero major space weather events during May 17–23, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts of predominantly quiet conditions amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum. Recent observations show solar activity limited to low-level C-class flares from active regions such as AR 14435 and AR 14436, with only a 40% chance of minor R1–R2 radio blackouts and under 10% for stronger M- or X-class flares. Geomagnetic activity may reach G1 minor storm levels on May 15–17 and active conditions around May 18 and 23 due to recurrent coronal hole high-speed streams, yet these fall short of G3+ thresholds or significant solar energetic particle events that typically define major impacts. Model consensus highlights stable solar wind and limited coronal mass ejection potential, keeping escalation unlikely unless new sunspot growth emerges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
0 49%
3 36%
1 31%
2 27%
NOWE
NOWE
May 23, 2026
0
38%
1
31%
2
27%
3
36%
4
22%
5
2%
6+
2%
0 49%
3 36%
1 31%
2 27%
NOWE
NOWE
May 23, 2026
0
$2 Wol.
38%
1
$0 Wol.
31%
2
$0 Wol.
27%
3
$0 Wol.
36%
4
$50 Wol.
22%
5
$91 Wol.
2%
6+
$133 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus currently favors zero major space weather events during May 17–23, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts of predominantly quiet conditions amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum. Recent observations show solar activity limited to low-level C-class flares from active regions such as AR 14435 and AR 14436, with only a 40% chance of minor R1–R2 radio blackouts and under 10% for stronger M- or X-class flares. Geomagnetic activity may reach G1 minor storm levels on May 15–17 and active conditions around May 18 and 23 due to recurrent coronal hole high-speed streams, yet these fall short of G3+ thresholds or significant solar energetic particle events that typically define major impacts. Model consensus highlights stable solar wind and limited coronal mass ejection potential, keeping escalation unlikely unless new sunspot growth emerges.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$276Data zakończenia
May 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus currently favors zero major space weather events during May 17–23, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts of predominantly quiet conditions amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum. Recent observations show solar activity limited to low-level C-class flares from active regions such as AR 14435 and AR 14436, with only a 40% chance of minor R1–R2 radio blackouts and under 10% for stronger M- or X-class flares. Geomagnetic activity may reach G1 minor storm levels on May 15–17 and active conditions around May 18 and 23 due to recurrent coronal hole high-speed streams, yet these fall short of G3+ thresholds or significant solar energetic particle events that typically define major impacts. Model consensus highlights stable solar wind and limited coronal mass ejection potential, keeping escalation unlikely unless new sunspot growth emerges.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$276Data zakończenia
May 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus currently favors zero major space weather events during May 17–23, driven by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts of predominantly quiet conditions amid Solar Cycle 25 maximum. Recent observations show solar activity limited to low-level C-class flares from active regions such as AR 14435 and AR 14436, with only a 40% chance of minor R1–R2 radio blackouts and under 10% for stronger M- or X-class flares. Geomagnetic activity may reach G1 minor storm levels on May 15–17 and active conditions around May 18 and 23 due to recurrent coronal hole high-speed streams, yet these fall short of G3+ thresholds or significant solar energetic particle events that typically define major impacts. Model consensus highlights stable solar wind and limited coronal mass ejection potential, keeping escalation unlikely unless new sunspot growth emerges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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