Traders overwhelmingly favor zero major space weather events for May 10-16, driven by the absence of significant solar activity during the period. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center reported consistently low solar flare levels and no coronal mass ejections capable of triggering geomagnetic storms at moderate or higher Kp-index thresholds. This quiet stretch aligns with variable but subdued output in the current solar cycle, where baseline sunspot counts failed to produce the X-class flares or proton events that typically define a “major” occurrence. Any shift would require new observational data showing an overlooked disturbance or revised intensity classification, though current satellite and ground-based measurements strongly support the prevailing market consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
0 94%
4 15.6%
3 6.0%
1 5.0%
$1,025 Wol.
$1,025 Wol.
May 16, 2026
0
94%
1
18%
2
2%
3
23%
4
16%
5
1%
6+
1%
0 94%
4 15.6%
3 6.0%
1 5.0%
$1,025 Wol.
$1,025 Wol.
May 16, 2026
0
$625 Wol.
94%
1
$53 Wol.
18%
2
$61 Wol.
2%
3
$92 Wol.
23%
4
$59 Wol.
16%
5
$56 Wol.
1%
6+
$80 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders overwhelmingly favor zero major space weather events for May 10-16, driven by the absence of significant solar activity during the period. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center reported consistently low solar flare levels and no coronal mass ejections capable of triggering geomagnetic storms at moderate or higher Kp-index thresholds. This quiet stretch aligns with variable but subdued output in the current solar cycle, where baseline sunspot counts failed to produce the X-class flares or proton events that typically define a “major” occurrence. Any shift would require new observational data showing an overlooked disturbance or revised intensity classification, though current satellite and ground-based measurements strongly support the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,025Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Traders overwhelmingly favor zero major space weather events for May 10-16, driven by the absence of significant solar activity during the period. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center reported consistently low solar flare levels and no coronal mass ejections capable of triggering geomagnetic storms at moderate or higher Kp-index thresholds. This quiet stretch aligns with variable but subdued output in the current solar cycle, where baseline sunspot counts failed to produce the X-class flares or proton events that typically define a “major” occurrence. Any shift would require new observational data showing an overlooked disturbance or revised intensity classification, though current satellite and ground-based measurements strongly support the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$1,025Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor zero major space weather events for May 10-16, driven by the absence of significant solar activity during the period. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center reported consistently low solar flare levels and no coronal mass ejections capable of triggering geomagnetic storms at moderate or higher Kp-index thresholds. This quiet stretch aligns with variable but subdued output in the current solar cycle, where baseline sunspot counts failed to produce the X-class flares or proton events that typically define a “major” occurrence. Any shift would require new observational data showing an overlooked disturbance or revised intensity classification, though current satellite and ground-based measurements strongly support the prevailing market consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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