SpaceX’s 114 launches through early October 2026, driven by Falcon 9’s proven first-stage reusability exceeding 20–25 flights per booster and rapid pad turnaround on both coasts, place the company on pace for roughly 145–155 total missions by year-end. Starlink batch deployments continue to dominate the manifest, supplemented by NASA crew and cargo flights, Space Force rideshares, and rideshare missions, while Starship orbital tests add only a handful of attempts amid ongoing Block 3 development and regulatory constraints. High fleet reliability above 99 percent and a dense 30-day backlog support the market’s strong preference for the 140–159 range, though any extended grounding or production slowdown could shift the final tally.