Recent secondary share tenders and private-market trading have lifted SpaceX’s implied valuation from roughly $800 billion late last year to the $1.5–1.75 trillion range, anchoring trader consensus around a $2 trillion IPO close. Starlink’s growing cash flows, accelerating Starship flight cadence, and the integration of space-based AI infrastructure ambitions support the premium multiple. With a potential June or July listing now in active preparation, the spread across the $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over final pricing, retail allocation size, and how public investors will weigh long-term execution risks against demonstrated launch and satellite momentum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLimit rynkowy na zamknięcie IPO SpaceX
$1,982,300 Wol.
$1,982,300 Wol.
<1,0 bln
5%
1,0T-1,5T
8%
1,5 bln–2,0 bln
23%
2,0T-2,5T
33%
2,5 bln–3,0 bln
17%
3,0T-3,5T
11%
3,5T+
2%
Brak IPO przed 2028 rokiem
2%
$1,982,300 Wol.
$1,982,300 Wol.
<1,0 bln
5%
1,0T-1,5T
8%
1,5 bln–2,0 bln
23%
2,0T-2,5T
33%
2,5 bln–3,0 bln
17%
3,0T-3,5T
11%
3,5T+
2%
Brak IPO przed 2028 rokiem
2%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent secondary share tenders and private-market trading have lifted SpaceX’s implied valuation from roughly $800 billion late last year to the $1.5–1.75 trillion range, anchoring trader consensus around a $2 trillion IPO close. Starlink’s growing cash flows, accelerating Starship flight cadence, and the integration of space-based AI infrastructure ambitions support the premium multiple. With a potential June or July listing now in active preparation, the spread across the $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over final pricing, retail allocation size, and how public investors will weigh long-term execution risks against demonstrated launch and satellite momentum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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