Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate $50-60 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting detailed prospectus drafts from early May that project Starlink-driven 2026 revenue near $24 billion alongside $20 billion-plus capex for Starship and AI data centers, tempering hype for a record $75 billion raise amid execution risks on unproven multi-planetary ambitions. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion pre-IPO, supporting a path to $1.75 trillion post-money valuation, yet secondary market volatility and Elon Musk's dual-class voting structure have capped enthusiasm, with 70-80 billion (23.5%) and 80-90 billion (19.1%) as next likeliest amid xAI integration buzz. Public prospectus expected late May ahead of June roadshow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$138,944 Wol.
$138,944 Wol.
<40B
12%
40-50B
8%
50-60B
37%
60-70B
10%
70-80B
24%
80-90B
19%
90-100B
6%
100-110B
4%
110-120B
4%
120B+
9%
$138,944 Wol.
$138,944 Wol.
<40B
12%
40-50B
8%
50-60B
37%
60-70B
10%
70-80B
24%
80-90B
19%
90-100B
6%
100-110B
4%
110-120B
4%
120B+
9%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate $50-60 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting detailed prospectus drafts from early May that project Starlink-driven 2026 revenue near $24 billion alongside $20 billion-plus capex for Starship and AI data centers, tempering hype for a record $75 billion raise amid execution risks on unproven multi-planetary ambitions. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion pre-IPO, supporting a path to $1.75 trillion post-money valuation, yet secondary market volatility and Elon Musk's dual-class voting structure have capped enthusiasm, with 70-80 billion (23.5%) and 80-90 billion (19.1%) as next likeliest amid xAI integration buzz. Public prospectus expected late May ahead of June roadshow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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